Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.000131 0.000145 0.000160 0.000178 0.000197 0.000218 0.000243
2025-07-20 0.000107 0.000128 0.000151 0.000181 0.000218 0.000261 0.000316
2025-07-27 0.000090 0.000113 0.000142 0.000180 0.000230 0.000292 0.000379
2025-08-03 0.000080 0.000105 0.000138 0.000183 0.000245 0.000328 0.000450
2025-08-10 0.000071 0.000096 0.000130 0.000180 0.000252 0.000353 0.000508
2025-08-17 0.000063 0.000089 0.000125 0.000179 0.000259 0.000377 0.000567
2025-08-24 0.000057 0.000082 0.000119 0.000175 0.000263 0.000397 0.000621
2025-08-31 0.000051 0.000076 0.000112 0.000170 0.000263 0.000409 0.000664
2025-09-07 0.000047 0.000072 0.000109 0.000170 0.000271 0.000436 0.000734
2025-09-14 0.000045 0.000069 0.000108 0.000172 0.000283 0.000469 0.000819
2025-09-21 0.000041 0.000065 0.000103 0.000169 0.000285 0.000486 0.000876
2025-09-28 0.000037 0.000060 0.000097 0.000163 0.000281 0.000491 0.000911
2025-10-05 0.000035 0.000058 0.000095 0.000164 0.000290 0.000523 0.001006
2025-10-12 0.000034 0.000056 0.000094 0.000166 0.000303 0.000564 0.001125
2025-10-19 0.000031 0.000053 0.000092 0.000165 0.000309 0.000591 0.001221
2025-10-26 0.000030 0.000052 0.000091 0.000168 0.000322 0.000635 0.001358
2025-11-02 0.000028 0.000049 0.000088 0.000165 0.000325 0.000658 0.001453
2025-11-09 0.000026 0.000047 0.000085 0.000164 0.000330 0.000685 0.001561
2025-11-16 0.000024 0.000044 0.000082 0.000161 0.000331 0.000704 0.001652
2025-11-23 0.000023 0.000042 0.000078 0.000156 0.000327 0.000711 0.001716
2025-11-30 0.000021 0.000040 0.000077 0.000156 0.000335 0.000746 0.001856
2025-12-07 0.000021 0.000039 0.000076 0.000158 0.000347 0.000794 0.002040
2025-12-14 0.000019 0.000038 0.000074 0.000155 0.000347 0.000812 0.002144